There is definitely a shift in thinking among more and more people within the Washington DC establishment. The Pentagon just informed the House Armed Services Committee that it would be unlikely for the Ukraine to take back Crimea.

They say “unlikely” but if they were being totally honest they would have just said that it is impossible. Even Mark Milley the Joint Chiefs of Staff has admitted this.

The House Armed Services Chair Mike Rogers also said that he would like to see some sort of conclusion to the war this summer.

In other words, they are looking for a way to declare victory so they can move on to doing a war with China.

Even though the Ukraine has been losing hard, there are people in DC looking for an exit out of this mess without looking totally ridiculous. Unfortunately for them, I’m not sure there is a way for them to exit out of this without looking stupid. You could easily make the argument that this war has been a bigger geopolitical disaster than the botched Afghanistan exit.